Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000088 0.000093 0.000097 0.000103 0.000108 0.000114
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000085 0.000091 0.000099 0.000107 0.000117 0.000128
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000080 0.000088 0.000097 0.000109 0.000121 0.000138
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000077 0.000085 0.000096 0.000109 0.000125 0.000146
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000075 0.000084 0.000096 0.000112 0.000131 0.000157
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000073 0.000084 0.000098 0.000115 0.000138 0.000171
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000071 0.000082 0.000096 0.000115 0.000140 0.000177
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000067 0.000078 0.000093 0.000113 0.000139 0.000180
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000065 0.000076 0.000091 0.000112 0.000140 0.000184
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000062 0.000073 0.000088 0.000108 0.000137 0.000182
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000061 0.000072 0.000088 0.000110 0.000142 0.000193
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000061 0.000072 0.000089 0.000113 0.000147 0.000206
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000059 0.000071 0.000088 0.000113 0.000150 0.000214
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000058 0.000071 0.000089 0.000116 0.000157 0.000232
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000057 0.000070 0.000088 0.000116 0.000160 0.000242
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000056 0.000068 0.000087 0.000116 0.000162 0.000251
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000055 0.000068 0.000088 0.000118 0.000167 0.000268
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000055 0.000068 0.000089 0.000121 0.000175 0.000291
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000053 0.000067 0.000087 0.000120 0.000176 0.000297
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000051 0.000065 0.000085 0.000117 0.000173 0.000297
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000050 0.000063 0.000083 0.000116 0.000172 0.000300
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000048 0.000061 0.000080 0.000112 0.000167 0.000292
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000080 0.000113 0.000172 0.000312